Coronavirus cases now doubling twice as fast in some areas of the country and Rutland cases worryingly high – please do not be complacent

Rutland and Lincolnshire both passed milestones today as case numbers continued their string rise.

Rutland reported a further nine cases today, putting it on 200 cases since the pandemic started in March.

However, the figures still remain among the best in the country, with case numbers equivalent to 500.9 per 100,000, or about one case in every 200 people.

Greater Lincolnshire passed the 1,100 mark just nine days into October.

The UK coronavirus dashboard showed 139 cases on Friday, meaning there have been 724 since Monday and 1,117 for the month.

Today’s figures include 90 in Lincolnshire, another 24 in North Lincolnshire, and 25 in North East Lincolnshire.

 

There were 820 cases for the whole of September, a 400% increase on August numbers.

NHS figures showed no further deaths in Greater Lincolnshire hospitals today.

However, the government’s own death tally, which includes those both in and out of hospitals and those of residents in hospitals outside the county, showed three new deaths in its figures.

This means there have been 12 Greater Lincolnshire deaths recorded by the government since the beginning of the month, of which seven have occurred in hospitals across the region.

Nationally, cases increased by 13,864 to 575,679 while deaths increased by 87 to 42,679.

 

Coronavirus cases are doubling about twice as fast in the North West, Yorkshire and the West Midlands as for the whole of England, according to the largest Covid-19 study of its kind.

Experts behind the React study said the rate of growth of the epidemic across England has slowed in the last month, but the country was now at a “critical point in the second wave”.

They warned that current measures such as the rule of six and restrictions in the north of England will not be enough to bring the epidemic under control.

They said “further fixed-duration measures should be considered to reduce the infection rate and limit the numbers of hospital admissions and deaths from Covid-19”.

The report looked at Covid-19 swabs from 174,949 volunteers tested across England between September 18 and Monday this week.

It found cases are doubling every 29 days in England, much slower than the 13 days estimated for the period mid August to early September, resulting in a national reproductive rate (the R number) of 1.16.

At a regional level, the team estimated cases are doubling much quicker – every 17 days in the North West, 13 days in Yorkshire and the Humber and 14 days in the West Midlands.

However, they said the doubling time may be as low as seven days in Yorkshire and the West Midlands, and every nine days in the North West.

Across England, about one in 170 people currently have the virus and there are approximately 45,000 new infections each day, the report continued.

It pointed to “high prevalence” of Covid-19 across England and said “prevalence has increased in all age groups, including those at highest risk”.

The highest prevalence of the virus is among 18 to 24-year olds, but prevalence among anyone aged 65 and over has increased eight-fold since mid-August to early September, to 0.33%, the report said.

It also found that at least half of people with Covid-19 will also not display symptoms on the day of testing or in the previous week.

The experts concluded: “Improved compliance with existing policy and, as necessary, additional interventions are required to control the spread of (coronavirus) in the community and limit the numbers of hospital admissions and deaths from Covid-19.

 

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